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Reuters Poll: 2009 Mobile Phone Market to Shrink

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Mobile phones sales will shrink next year at their fastest pace ever as consumers cut spending, a Reuters poll showed, with analysts increasingly concerned about unsold phones piling up in stores.

On average, the poll of 36 analysts shows global market volumes shrinking 6.6 percent next year and 5.7 percent in the fourth quarter—traditionally the strongest period for the industry due to holiday sales.

In a similar poll in early November analysts on average forecast the market to rise 2.6 percent in 2009.

But since then Nokia, the world's top cellphone maker, has warned twice on market growth, saying on December 4 its best guess was for sales to fall 5 percent or more next year.

“Fear and uncertainty are causing many suppliers and consumers to delay purchasing their next handsets," said Strategy Analytics' Neil Mawston.

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