This awards season, Variety set out to find the answer, examining half a century of Oscar history and talking to Academy veterans and longtime observers in search of trends and indicators.
MAKING AN IMPRESSION
So come ballot-marking time, what do voters remember? Some common scenarios emerged from our interviews:
The film was about music (see Round Midnight," The Red Violin"). Any movie that focuses attention on music has a terrific advantage over pictures that are about other things," says Bernstein, also a composer and longtime music-branch governor.
The film struck an emotional chord, and the music was a key contributor (see Doctor Zhivago," E.T.," Il Postino"). Music is an emotional medium," says one veteran Oscar consultant, so it's often an emotional vote. If there's a haunting theme of any kind, and people remember it, that's what wins."
The music seemed intriguingly exotic (see Frida," Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon"). Voters like international dining when they're voting for music," says composers' agent Richard Kraft. Over the last two decades we have sampled Italian, Polish, Indian, English, Argentinian, Canadian, German and Chinese. It's definitely been a disadvantage to serve up a home cooked meal."
Choral music was prominently featured, helping neophyte listeners to notice (see The Lion in Winter," The Omen"). The addition of a choir makes a huge difference, especially if it's right up front in the mix," says a record-industry exec.
An epic film, with lots of room for grand-scale symphonic music (see Out of Africa," Dances With Wolves," The English Patient," Lord of the Rings" movies). The longer the characters shut up for extended periods of time, the more likely that people will notice the score," says Kraft. Nothing beats a romantic plane ride or a sweeping battle to offer the composer a canvas to paint the kind of music that really makes an impression."
Voters confused score" with lots of songs" (see The Little Mermaid," Beauty and the Beast"). This is no longer possible, since the recent addition of a rule that prohibits musicals from competing in the score category.
The song or theme is a commercial hit (see Titanic," Love Story," Chariots of Fire"). Sometimes the music is ubiquitous, and you can't go anywhere without hearing it," says Bona, acknowledging that radio play is nowadays a good deal less relevant than it once was.
The song is prominently featured (see Moon River" in Breakfast at Tiffany's," Jai Ho" in Slumdog Millionaire") It would be very hard to walk out of 'Slumdog Millionaire' and not remember the music video with that great song at the end of the movie," says a veteran observer.
There is no rational explanation (see It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from Hustle & Flow"). Everyone was dumbfounded," says another longtime Oscar consultant, who thinks they voted for it just so they could show their kids and grand kids that they can be hip too."
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